Wednesday, February 22, 2006

Big XII Tourney Projections (updated 2/23)

Here are the current standings as of Thursday Morning:

Kansas 11-2
Texas 11-2
Oklahoma 9-4
Colorado 7-6
aTm 7-6
Nebraska 7-6
Texas Tech 6-7
K-State 5-8
Iowa St. 5-8
Okie St. 4-9
Mizzou 4-9
Baylor 2-11

Here is how I project the season to end for each team

Texas (KU, @aTm, OU) 14-2
Kansas (@Tex, CU, @KSU) 13-3
Oklahoma (KSU, OSU, @Tex) 11-5
aTm (Neb, Tex, @TT) 9-7
Colorado (Mizzou, @KU, ISU) 9-7
Nebraska (@aTm, KSU, @Mizzou) 8-8
Texas Tech (@OSU @Bay, aTm) 7-9
ISU (@Bay, Mizzou, @CU) 7-9
OSU (TT, @OU, Bay) 6-10
Mizzou (@CU, @ISU, NU) 5-11
KSU (@OU, @NU, KU) 5-11
Baylor (ISU, TT, @OSU) 2-14

Then the Tourney would be:

#8 Iowa St. vs. #9 Oklahoma St., 11:30 a.m. (ESPN+)
winner vs. #1 Texas, 11:30 a.m. Friday (ESPN+)

#5 Colorado vs. #12 Baylor, 2:00 p.m. (ESPN+)
winner vs. #4 aTm, 2:00 Friday (ESPN+)

#7 Texas Tech vs. #10 Missouri, 6:00 p.m. (ESPN+)
winner vs. #2 Kansas, 6:00 p.m. Friday (ESPN+)

#6 Nebraska . vs. #11 Kansas St., 8:20 p.m. (ESPN2)
winner vs. #3 Oklahoma, 8:20 p.m. Friday (ESPN+)

I think the 6 seed would be nice, not only for the game time and national exposure, but of the top 4 seeds, I'd like another matchup with Oklahoma rather than Kansas or Texas.

Also, I'm beginning to think that the 5 seed would be better than the 4 seed for Nebraska, if we can get up there. Either way, it would likely result in a second round matchup with Colorado or Texas A & M, although if we're the 5 seed we get to rack up a likely win against Baylor first, which may hurt our RPI slightly, but make our record look even gaudier. In any case, its just another win to add to our NCAA resume may make it worthwhile.

The good news is it looks like we're staying out of that crappy 8/9 slot that not only gets to face the #1 seed, but also plays an 11:30 game on the first day. Ugh.


Blogger Brian Pope said...

Easiest prediction ever- we'll mess this up somehow.

10:19 AM  

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